Issue No 61, Sept 28-Oct 10, 2003 | ISSN:1684-2057 | satribune.com


Opinion

 

Cancun Saw an Historic Shift in Balance of Power

By Pramilla Srivastava
Special Correspondent

NEW YORK: When delegates from a group of 21 developing nations walked out of the World Trade Organization talks in Cancun, Mexico last week they were greeted by cheers from a large group of Non-governmental Organizations representing rural farmers, labor, women, human rights and humanitarian workers, and environmentalist; who had worked in close concert with the group to protect the development agenda promised by rich nations (the developed world), in prior rounds of talks.

While the agenda was not fulfilled, neither was it abandoned; and the group thwarted attempts by the US/EU side to bulldoze the implementation of a trade regime which would have compromised the livelihood of millions of farmers throughout the world.

One of the most respected organizations fighting for decades for the rights of people from the developing world in the areas of food distribution and sustainable agricultural development is Food First. Members of the organization worked with the delegates during the entire conference.

South Asia Tribune spoke with Anuradha Mittal, from Food First, who has just returned from Cancun, to gain insight on what took place, and what the implications are for the poor and farming populations of the world:

Q: Many anti-globalization activists were celebrating the breakdown of the WTO Meeting. Was this a good or bad development for the plight of the poor around the world?

No deal is better than a bad deal. What was being put forth was a bad deal. Led by the Group of 21 nations known as the G21, with China, India and Brazil at its heart there was an exciting and historic shift in the balance of power. The US/EU attitude that we know better was no longer acceptable.

Q: John Richardson, head of the EU delegation, was at the UN today and said that "we were ready to make concessions on a broad range of issues. We were ready to cut tariffs, and for cotton we were ready to cut all forms of export subsidies as well as open our markets to imports", and added that his delegation "negotiated in good faith:". Is the Issue agricultural subsidies or is it much more than that and do you believe they were negotiating in good faith?

He is lying. Even Pascal Lamy, the European Trade `Commissioner, said over and over again that he did not have a mandate to promise that.

Moreover there was a clear consensus amongst member nations that no new issues be added to the table. More than 80 nations made that position clear. Yet, the document they put forth had 4 new issues. This is not negotiating in good faith .As well, at the start of the meeting the WTO director general said that there would be no green room process. But it was not long before several nations were pulled aside for a "green room" conference. When talks failed to progress they began calling country capitals, threatened to cut off aid, and tried other such tactics. And that is what they call "good faith"! They gave us no timeline; they agreed to no numbers. They only wanted to agree to a framework. The notion of consensus was just rhetoric; it was the same old tactics we've seen before.

Q: Can you explain more about the Green Room and what took place there this past weekend?

26 countries were negotiating openly and in good faith when suddenly it was reduced to 9 countries, who were pulled aside to negotiate privately on behalf of the larger group. They were putting a lot of pressure on China, Chile and Mexico. They threatened to cut aid; but they did the same thing in DOHA.

It's the same arrogant motto used in its War on Terrorism,"you’re either with us or against us." Robert Zoellick, the US trade representative sounded the intention of the US to bypass the WTO entirely and instead forge ahead with regional and bilateral agreements. Charles E. Grassley, chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, declared that the US would "take note of those nations that played a constructive role in Cancun, and those nations that didn't," - punishing and rewarding as necessary. This arrogance only further aggravate the developing countries resistance against what was regarded as the quest for empire.

Q: Why were developing nations upset by the draft proposal on new issues, specifically new rules on foreign investment and transparency on government procurement?

For one thing there was a mandate by consensus already established that no new issues should be put forth. But on the issue of foreign investment for example, it is precisely because of India's investment policy that it was able to avert fall out from the Asian Financial Crisis.

Q: Can you explain this?

What I meant is that that the bilateral trade agreements between the US and Chile and Singapore, challenge capital controls, a policy which helped many countries escape the Asian financial crisis.

Q: What kind of role did India play in the talks? Should we be commending the government or demanding more?

Definitely India should be applauded. It played an incredible role and formed the heart of the alliance. And, India had to play an important role. Over 70 million of its people are individual rural farmers; it is the 3rd largest producer of food in the world; and it represents more than a billion mostly poor people. However, India's policies still favor the larger farmers who represent cash crop industries so the benefits will not trickle down to the smallest and poorest rural farmers. So there is still work to be done within India to address the need of a meaningful livelihood for the small farmer,.. But India does understand the plight of its farmers. 60 million tons of food rotted last year because it could not find export markets; and 2 million Indian farmers are displaced every year from there land. So India finally took a stand.

Q: Is the answer reform of the WTO or withdrawal and is that a viable option for developing nation?. Whose interest would a breakdown of the WTO serve in the long run?

Reform is the wrong agenda for the WTO. I would argue that it should be completely dismantled. It is inherently unequal. Especially in the area of agricultural trade there should be bilateral and regional agreements between equal economies. This is the only thing that makes sense to preserve sustainable development and farming sovereignty. The current trade regime has made the developing world into an exotic fruit basket and dumping ground. This model is clearly not working. NAFTA for example promised to add 250,000 jobs to the US economy. Since its implementation the US has lost more than 2 million jobs. In the US the individual farmer only makes 13% of his income from farming. The rest of his livelihood comes from 2nd and 3rd jobs.

Q: Many in the US and EU have referred to the G21 as a new negotiating dynamic. How is it likely to change the political and economic realities of the world?

While this represents a historic shift in the balance of power in the world it is important to bolster the capacity of poor nations to negotiate. The group represents a majority of the world. It is a group which is pro global social justice, pro democracy, pro workers, pro human rights and pro women rights. We celebrate the G21, but we have to remember that its an alliance and much still needs to be done. We have to work on establishing a small-farmer orientated agenda.

Q: Did the War on Iraq have any affect on the mood of the group?

Definitely the Iraq war had a big impact. Many nations were fed up with US unilateralism. They remained unified amongst threats of punishment promises of rewards. The US is also playing off differences with EU, trying to blame it for the breakdown; but what's really happening is that colonial powers are fighting amongst themselves.

Q: I also want to go back again to repercussions from Cancun. Did you get a sense that members of G21 were in any way intimidated by US threats to move ahead with bilateral agreements? Are there any weak links in the group? What will happen if US carries out its threats to cut aid and isolate specific countries?

Most developing country governments came to Cancun with a defensive stance. The big challenge was not that of forging a historic New Deal but that of preventing the US and the EU from imposing new demands on the developing countries while escaping any multilateral disciplines on their trade regimes. The Group of 21 represents more than half of the world's population and two-thirds of its farmers, and stalemated the EU and US pushed for further liberalization to suit their corporate interests.

US trade negotiators were right in discerning that the Group of 21 represented a resumption of the South's push for a "new international economic order" in the 1970s. Sure the countries in the grouping will come under US pressure and threats--like they did in Cancun. However, with the changed dynamics and building support for the coalition, Cancun offers a lesson - strong arm tactics, that might have worked in the past for the US and the EU, are not going to work any more.

The walk out demonstrates that poor nations agree on one principle: No agreement is better than a bad agreement!

Q: Also can you respond to one school of thought which argues that although WTO was designed to serve the interests of the US/EU, now that there is no longer a balance of power, in a unipolar political reality the US no longer needs multilateral institutions such as UN WTO and World Bank, which it now sees as interfering with its interest and is therefore proactively trying to undermine them. That the crisis at the UN and WTO are part and parcel of a larger US strategy to dismantle all multilateral constraints.

The United States is isolated in its unilateral approach and the growing resentment against its "Empire Building" tactics backfired in Cancun. Its policy of "Open Invasion: Open Markets" is being questioned and dissent is growing in the Third World.

It is failing to persuade people to join "globalization" when it has failed to join the global community by ignoring every human rights treaty, every environmental treaty, the International Criminal Court. So the failure of Cancun is not a part of US strategy, but instead, the unraveling of the US hegemonic power.

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